Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001234 0.001390 0.001547 0.001716 0.001892 0.002070 0.002264
2025-08-03 0.001012 0.001239 0.001473 0.001733 0.002010 0.002296 0.002611
2025-08-10 0.000778 0.001048 0.001338 0.001667 0.002026 0.002404 0.002826
2025-08-17 0.000614 0.000917 0.001253 0.001645 0.002081 0.002545 0.003071
2025-08-24 0.000444 0.000759 0.001124 0.001563 0.002061 0.002600 0.003218
2025-08-31 0.000341 0.000668 0.001064 0.001551 0.002114 0.002729 0.003441
2025-09-07 0.000271 0.000609 0.001036 0.001571 0.002199 0.002891 0.003698
2025-09-14 0.000189 0.000522 0.000965 0.001535 0.002215 0.002973 0.003862
2025-09-21 0.000146 0.000482 0.000949 0.001563 0.002301 0.003131 0.004111
2025-09-28 0.000122 0.000468 0.000965 0.001628 0.002431 0.003337 0.004410
2025-10-05 0.000083 0.000421 0.000932 0.001628 0.002482 0.003452 0.004607
2025-10-12 0.000060 0.000395 0.000927 0.001662 0.002571 0.003609 0.004848
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000364 0.000927 0.001721 0.002715 0.003857 0.005225
2025-10-26 0.000008 0.000304 0.000879 0.001718 0.002784 0.004021 0.005511
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000216 0.000777 0.001640 0.002760 0.004074 0.005671
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000160 0.000716 0.001610 0.002792 0.004193 0.005905
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000095 0.000619 0.001524 0.002750 0.004221 0.006033
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000063 0.000575 0.001509 0.002796 0.004353 0.006280
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000044 0.000555 0.001527 0.002883 0.004533 0.006581
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000019 0.000501 0.001490 0.002896 0.004622 0.006775
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000010 0.000489 0.001516 0.002991 0.004809 0.007082
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000008 0.000501 0.001580 0.003135 0.005055 0.007459
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000001 0.000475 0.001580 0.003193 0.005196 0.007711